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What if white men were the only ones who cast ballots in the 2024 U.S. presidential election? The map below examines just that. The map shows how each state would have voted if only white men had cast ballots, based on exit polls and polling data.
Even though this is a hypothetical scenario, it’s not entirely disconnected from reality. White Americans are still the ethnic majority in the U.S., accounting for about 58–60% of the total population as of 2024, depending on how Hispanic origin is counted. White men, in particular, remain one of the most influential voting blocs—especially in key swing states and rural regions.
National Voting Trends Among White Men
White men overwhelmingly supported Donald Trump in 2024. Trump had a +20 point advantage over Joe Biden, with 59% of white male voters choosing him, according to AP VoteCast.
This keeps up a steady pattern. Trump won the 2020 presidential election with a slightly larger majority of white men (61% compared to 38% for Biden). Even though the overall gap shrank somewhat in 2024, the change points to gradual changes in the population and attitudes, which could be caused by things like increased educational attainment, shifting media environments, or changes in the local economy.
In short, white men are still a Republican-leaning group, but their political views are not fixed. They change as a result of broader social forces in America.
Red States, Blue Exceptions: How White Men Voted Across the Map
Looking at the map, the Republican dominance is unmistakable. Across much of the South and Midwest, white men voted overwhelmingly for Trump. States like Mississippi, Alabama, and Louisiana show the deepest red—strongholds of conservative support. Texas, Georgia, and the Carolinas also leaned heavily Republican, along with much of the Rust Belt and Great Plains.
But not every state followed this trend. A few blue holdouts remain—Massachusetts, California, and Hawaii, for example—where white men were more likely to vote for Biden. In contrast, states like Colorado and New Mexico fell somewhere in the middle, with support for the two main contenders being roughly equal.
What causes this glaring regional divide, then?
It can be explained by a number of overlapping factors:
Cultural Identity & Values: Traditional conservative views on matters such as immigration, gun rights, and religion are highly appealing in many southern and rural states. Republican messaging, particularly among white men without college degrees, speaks directly to those priorities.
Economic Displacement: Some white men in Appalachia and the Midwest’s post-industrial regions feel left behind by automation and globalization. Trump capitalizes on these annoyances with his populist rhetoric about trade, jobs, and political elites.
The Education Gap: Although they are frequently outnumbered in these areas, white men with college degrees are more likely to vote Democratic. One of the best indicators of voting behavior is educational attainment, and states with lower percentages of college graduates typically have more Republican voters.
Urban vs. Rural Divide: White male voters are more likely to be moderate or progressive in states like California and Massachusetts that have large urban centers and more diverse populations. Rural areas, on the other hand, tend to be more conservative.
All of this results in a country where white men’s political preferences differ greatly depending on their location, level of education, and economic prospects.
