The ‘White Christmas Map’ Reveals Every Country’s Chance of Snow on Christmas Day – and Every State too…

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For the big day to be defined as a ‘White Christmas,’ the Met Office requires “one snowflake to be observed falling in the 24 hours of 25th December”. This means that, even if you do achieve the fabled White Christmas, it could be something of an underwhelming experience.

Some of us will wish each and every year for a White Christmas, but is a cheeky winter trip to Belarus or Estonia at the top of many peoples’ Christmas lists?

New research, collated by Vouchercloud and based on the last nine years of December snowfall Russia (63.1%), Belarus (55.6%), Estonia (50.9%), and Lithuania (50.2%) officially lead the way when it comes to the odds of seeing a White Christmas, while some rather picturesque locations – Canada (45.5%), Norway (43.4%), and Iceland (40.9%) Sweden (33.7%) included – are also likely to see a sprinkle of snow on the 25th.

Back in the USA, Alaska (62.8%), Vermont (52.3%), and Minnesota (36.9%) top the list, leaving the others in the dust – notably Arizona, California, Florida, Hawaii, and Texas, where the chance of Christmas snowfall is a miserable 0%.

They aren’t alone; however, 127 countries worldwide have a veritable 0% chance of seeing snow…

Country	Capital City	Percentage Chance
Russia	Moscow	0.60887096774194
Belarus	Minsk	0.52822580645161
Finland	Helsinki	0.49193548387097
Estonia	Tallinn	0.49193548387097
Lithuania	Vilnius	0.48387096774194
Greenland	Nuuk	0.47177419354839
Kazakhstan	Astana	0.43951612903226
Canada	Ottawa	0.43548387096774
Ukraine	Kiev	0.43145161290323
Iceland	Reykjavik	0.42338709677419
Norway	Oslo	0.42338709677419
Latvia	Riga	0.39516129032258
Liechtenstein	Vaduz	0.33870967741935
Sweden	Stockholm	0.32258064516129
Bosnia and Herzegovina	Sarajevo	0.32258064516129
Poland	Warsaw	0.28225806451613
Czech Republic	Prague	0.26209677419355
Andorra	Andorra la Vella	0.24596774193548
Bulgaria	Sofia	0.24193548387097
Kosovo	Pristina	0.24193548387097
Luxembourg	Luxembourg City	0.23790322580645
Georgia	Tbilisi	0.2258064516129
Kyrgyzstan	Bishkek	0.21774193548387
Germany	Berlin	0.20564516129032
Moldova	Chisinau	0.20564516129032
Switzerland	Bern	0.19354838709677
Denmark	Copenhagen	0.18951612903226
South Korea	Seoul	0.17338709677419
North Korea	Pyongyang	0.16532258064516
Serbia	Belgrade	0.15725806451613
Croatia	Zagreb	0.14516129032258
Slovakia	Bratislava	0.14112903225806
Romania	Bucharest	0.13709677419355
Slovenia	Ljubljana	0.13306451612903
Mongolia	Ulaanbaatar	0.13306451612903
Uzbekistan	Tashkent	0.12096774193548
Austria	Vienna	0.11290322580645
Hungary	Budapest	0.11290322580645
Turkey	Ankara	0.10887096774194
Macedonia	Skopje	0.10483870967742
Netherlands	Amsterdam	0.1008064516129
Belgium	Brussels	0.1008064516129
France	Paris	0.092741935483871
Scotland	Edinburgh	0.07258064516129
Tajikistan	Dushanbe	0.064516129032258
England	London	0.060483870967742
Afghanistan	Kabul	0.060483870967742
Northern Ireland	Belfast	0.05241935483871
Azerbaijan	Baku	0.048387096774194
Armenia	Yerevan	0.044354838709677
Turkmenistan	Ashgabat	0.044354838709677
San Marino	City of San Marino	0.040322580645161
Wales	Cardiff	0.036290322580645
USA	Washington DC	0.036290322580645
Ireland	Dublin	0.032258064516129
Montenegro	Podgorica	0.028225806451613
China	Beijing	0.028225806451613
Bhutan	Thimphu	0.016129032258065
Spain	Madrid	0.012096774193548
Jordan	Amman	0.012096774193548
Greece	Athens	0.0080645161290323
Iran	Tehran	0.0080645161290323
Israel	Jerusalem	0.0080645161290323
Japan	Tokyo	0.0080645161290323
Syria	Damascus	0.0080645161290323
Bolivia	Sucre	0.0080645161290323
Vatican City	Vatican City	0.0040322580645161
Italy	Rome	0.0040322580645161
Albania	Tirana	0.0040322580645161
Monaco	Monaco	0.0040322580645161
Micronesia	Palikir	0
Cote d'Ivoire	Yamoussoukro	0
Myanmar (Burma)	Naypyidaw	0
Taiwan	Taipei	0
Cyprus	Nicosia	0
Malta	Valletta	0
Portugal	Lisbon	0
Algeria	Algiers	0
Angola	Luanda	0
Benin	Porto-Novo	0
Botswana	Gaborone	0
Burkina Faso	Ouagadougou	0
Burundi	Bujumbura	0
Cameroon	Yaounde	0
Cape Verde	Praia	0
Central African Republic (CAR)	Bangui	0
Chad	N'Djamena	0
Comoros	Moroni	0
Democratic Republic of Congo	Kinshasa	0
Djibouti	Djibouti City	0
Egypt	Cairo	0
Equatorial Guinea	Malabo	0
Eritrea	Asmara	0
Ethiopia	Addis Ababa	0
Gabon	Libreville	0
Gambia	Banjul	0
Ghana	Accra	0
Guinea	Conakry	0
Guinea-Bissau	Bissau	0
Kenya	Nairobi	0
Lesotho	Maseru	0
Liberia	Monrovia	0
Libya	Tripoli	0
Madagascar	Antananarivo	0
Malawi	Lilongwe	0
Mali	Bamoko	0
Mauritania	Nouakchott	0
Mauritius	Port Louis	0
Morocco	Rabat	0
Mozambique	Maputo	0
Namibia	Windhoek	0
Niger	Niamey	0
Nigeria	Abuja	0
Republic of the Congo	Brazzaville	0
Rwanda	Kigale	0
Sao Tome and Principe	Sao Tome	0
Senegal	Dakar	0
Seychelles	Victoria	0
Sierra Leone	Freetown	0
Somalia	Mogadishu	0
South Africa	Cape Town	0
South Sudan	Juba	0
Sudan	Khartoum	0
Swaziland	Mbabane	0
Tanzania	Dodoma	0
Togo	Lome	0
Tunisia	Tunis	0
Uganda	Kampala	0
Zambia	Lusaka	0
Zimbabwe	Harare	0
Bahrain	Manama	0
Bangladesh	Dhaka	0
Brunei	Bandar Seri Begawan	0
Cambodia	Phnom Penh	0
India	New Delhi	0
Indonesia	Jakarta	0
Iraq	Baghdad	0
Kuwait	Kuwait City	0
Laos	Vientiane	0
Lebanon	Beirut	0
Malaysia	Kuala Lumpur	0
Maldives	Male	0
Nepal	Kathmandu	0
Oman	Muscat	0
Pakistan	Islamabad	0
Philippines	Manila	0
Qatar	Doha	0
Saudi Arabia	Riyadh	0
Singapore	Singapore	0
Sri Lanka	Sri Jayawardenepure Kotte	0
Thailand	Bangkok	0
United Arab Emirates (UAE)	Abu Dhabi	0
Vietnam	Hanoi	0
Yemen	Sana'a	0
Antigua and Barbuda	Saint John's	0
Bahamas	Nassau	0
Barbados	Bridgetown	0
Belize	Belmopan	0
Costa Rica	San Jose	0
Cuba	Havana	0
Dominica	Roseau	0
Dominican Republic	Santo Domingo	0
El Salvador	San Salvador	0
Grenada	Saint George's	0
Guatemala	Guatemala City	0
Haiti	Port-au-Prince	0
Honduras	Tegucigalpa	0
Jamaica	Kingston	0
Mexico	Mexico City	0
Nicaragua	Managua	0
Panama	Panama City	0
Saint Kitts and Nevis	Basseterre	0
Saint Lucia	Castries	0
Saint Vincent and Grenadines	Kingstown	0
Australia	Canberra	0
Fiji	Suva	0
Kiribati	Tarawa	0
Marshall Islands	Majuro	0
New Zealand	Wellington	0
Papua New Guinea	Port Moresby	0
Samoa	Apia	0
Solomon Islands	Honiara	0
Tonga	Nuku'alofa	0
Tuvalu	Funafuti	0
Vanuatu	Port Vila	0
Argentina	Buenos Aires	0
Brazil	Brasilia	0
Chile	Santiago	0
Colombia	Bogota	0
Ecuador	Quito	0
Guyana	Georgetown	0
Paraguay	Asuncion	0
Peru	Lima	0
Suriname	Paramaribo	0
Trinidad and Tobago	Port of Spain	0
Uruguay	Montevido	0
Venezuela	Caracas	0

U.S. States Most Likely to See a White Christmas

State	State Capital	Percentage Chance
Alaska	Juneau	0.6613
Vermont	Montpelier	0.5605
Minnesota	Saint Paul	0.4113
Michigan	Lansing	0.3548
Montana	Helena	0.3548
North Dakota	Bismarck	0.3548
Wisconsin	Madison	0.3508
Utah	Salt Lake City	0.3145
Nevada	Carson City	0.3065
Idaho	Boise	0.2863
South Dakota	Pierre	0.2661
Maine	Augusta	0.2621
Iowa	Des Moines	0.2419
Wyoming	Cheyenne	0.2419
New Mexico	Santa Fe	0.2339
Indiana	Indianapolis	0.2258
West Virginia	Charleston	0.2258
New York	Albany	0.2177
Ohio	Columbus	0.2056
New Hampshire	Concord	0.1976
Nebraska	Lincoln	0.1895
Colorado	Denver	0.1532
Kentucky	Frankfort	0.1532
Illinois	Springfield	0.1452
Kansas	Topeka	0.1452
Massachusetts	Boston	0.1371
Pennsylvania	Harrisburg	0.129
Connecticut	Hartford	0.121
Missouri	Jefferson City	0.1169
Rhode Island	Providence	0.1089
New Jersey	Trenton	0.0726
Oklahoma	Oklahoma City	0.0605
Virginia	Richmond	0.0565
Maryland	Annapolis	0.0524
Tennessee	Nashville	0.0484
Delaware	Dover	0.0403
Arkansas	Little Rock	0.0242
Washington	Olympia	0.0242
Georgia	Atlanta	0.0202
Mississippi	Jackson	0.0202
North Carolina	Raleigh	0.0202
Oregon	Salem	0.0161
Alabama	Montgomery	0.0121
South Carolina	Columbia	0.0046
Louisiana	Baton Rouge	0.004
Arizona	Phoenix	0
California	Sacramento	0
Florida	Tallahassee	0
Hawaii	Honolulu	0
Texas	Austin	0

U.K. Cities Most Likely to See a White Christmas

City	Country	Percentage Chance
St Davids	Wales	N/A
Stirling	Scotland	0.129
Aberdeen	Scotland	0.125
Inverness	Scotland	0.1129
Bradford	England	0.1048
Newry	Northern Ireland	0.0847
Carlisle	England	0.0847
Wolverhampton	England	0.0847
Birmingham	England	0.0806
Portsmouth	England	0.0806
Armagh	Northern Ireland	0.0766
Dundee	Scotland	0.0766
Newcastle upon Tyne	England	0.0726
Derby	England	0.0726
Edinburgh	Scotland	0.0726
Glasgow	Scotland	0.0685
York	England	0.0685
Leicester	England	0.0645
Bangor	Wales	0.0645
Cambridge	England	0.0645
Durham	England	0.0645
Oxford	England	0.0645
Peterborough	England	0.0645
Stoke-on-Trent	England	0.0645
Wells	England	0.0645
Lichfield	England	0.0605
Lincoln	England	0.0605
Norwich	England	0.0605
Canterbury	England	0.0605
London	England	0.0605
Coventry	England	0.0605
Preston	England	0.0605
Westminster	England	0.0605
Gloucester	England	0.0565
Leeds	England	0.0565
Bath	England	0.0565
Chester	England	0.0565
Salisbury	England	0.0565
Sheffield	England	0.0565
Sunderland	England	0.0565
Wakefield	England	0.0565
Kingston upon Hull	England	0.0524
Derry	Northern Ireland	0.0524
Manchester	England	0.0524
Belfast	Northern Ireland	0.0524
Ely	England	0.0524
Ripon	England	0.0524
Salford	England	0.0524
St Albans	England	0.0524
Worcester	England	0.0524
Lancaster	England	0.0484
Hereford	England	0.0444
Lisburn	Northern Ireland	0.0444
Liverpool	England	0.0444
Brighton and Hove	England	0.0444
Bristol	England	0.0444
Limerick	Ireland	0.0444
Newport	Wales	0.0403
Nottingham	England	0.0403
Winchester	England	0.0403
Cork	Ireland	0.0403
Cardiff	Wales	0.0363
Chichester	England	0.0363
Southampton	England	0.0323
Dublin	Ireland	0.0323
Exeter	England	0.0242
Plymouth	England	0.0242
Swansea	Wales	0.0242
Waterford	Ireland	0.0242
Galway	Ireland	0.0242
Truro	England	0.0161